China Assumes Deescalated Position as Pelosi Departs Taiwan, Could China Take Drills Live for Surprise Invasion?

03 Aug 22

All of the pieces were in place and the call was entirely China’s. The options on the board included worst case scenarios involving direct engagement with Pelosi’s Taiwan envoy to a large array of other less aggressive options. The escalated tensions rest squarely on a rogue Nancy Pelosi working an ulterior agenda for ulterior principals and in ways to bring a World War III flashpoint to China’s doorstep had China desired in that moment.

Sixty-four articles in this series [linked below] on war, famine and disease precede this one and the several featured here are important and needed context:

1. October Surprise Pretext? Biden, Garland, DOJ Open Investigation into President Trump for Pelosi’s Capitol “Insurrection” Entrapment Scheme
2. Has Pelosi Unilaterally Expanded the House Speaker’s Authority and Is She Traveling to Taiwan as the Russia/China War Drums Intensify to Stamp Her Authority on It? Prewar Maneuvering for an August Flashpoint?
3. Pelosi Outbound for Taiwan, U.S. Moves Closer to Multi-front War Scenario on Exact Timeline Predicted Long Ago
4. Pelosi Trip Enrages Cerebus: War, Famine and Disease
5. TAIWAN: Pelosi “Definitely Coming”, War Drums Intensify, U.S. Moves Closer to Projected Flashpoint

Pelosi has already departed Taiwan without incident avoiding an international crisis between the U.S. and China. Acknowledging this, it’s important to recall how it was summarized in the previous article [emphasis added]:

It’s important to understand what I am saying and what I’m not saying:

1-What I’m not saying: World War III is breaking out because of Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan.

2-What I am saying: A thoroughly evidenced chronology of events and developments; including a number of overlaying positions in this work, all indicate that Pelosi’s Taiwan trip qualifies as a trigger to spark World War III. This is determined by the existing evidence, which indicates that this is a highly plausible scenario with completely avoidable and potentially devastating outcomes. At the moment Pelosi crosses over into Taiwanese air space or perhaps even as her envoy begins to encroach on it, the decision belongs to China. If China desires a flashpoint, it has it and can engage. If China desires something different, it has it and can engage alternatively by a wide-range of varying degrees and options.

China’s response to Pelosi’s reckless Taiwan trip is now known with Foreign Policy weighing-in on several important angles [emphasis added]:

As expected, China declared live-fire military exercises around Taiwan. Maps showing the scope of the proposed exercises published in the party-owned Global Times and then in Xinhua, the official state media source, marked several areas around the island that appeared to cross into Taiwanese territorial waters. Initial statements said that the exercises would begin on Thursday, after Pelosi left; after she landed, that became a claim that the exercises would begin Tuesday evening. (As of Wednesday morning, videos of exercises had been posted, but not yet at the scale promised.)

If the maps are accurate, the exercises are much more provocative than those conducted during 1995-1996 crisis, triggered by the then-Taiwanese president’s visit to the United States to attend a college reunion. They are closer to Taiwan and will involve a much larger scale of military firepower. That’s not surprising, in that China’s military strength has increased by orders of magnitude since the 1990s. But it’s not clear yet whether the exercises will actually cross the 12-mile nautical limit from international waters into Taiwan’s territorial waters for the first time—or whether they’ll fire missiles over the island itself, which would be a particularly provocative move. (One missile was fired directly over the island in 1996.)

Moving up the exercises to Aug. 2 indicates some sensitivity among the military and party that China’s response hasn’t been the fire and fury that many Chinese expected. The volume of comments on the trip was so heavy it partially crashed Weibo, China’s main social media platform, for several hours. Most online comments, even before censorship kicked into high gear, were aggressive in their support of harsh measures and even war with Taiwan. One particularly common message was “When do we start bombing?” There was a strong streak of mockery and skepticism in responses, too, resulting in a stream of soon-removed jokes at the government’s expense for promising too much. (“I accept that we’re not going to attack, but can’t we at least make her take the mandatory COVID test at the airport.”)

[…]

An actual invasion of Taiwan remains impossible in the immediate future and highly unlikely in the short term, as it would require a logistical trail impossible to hide from U.S. or Taiwanese intelligence. The fundamental problem remains: Beijing is increasingly convinced that Taiwan will not be persuaded to return peacefully, but it has to live up to its own revanchist demands—and the implicit promise to the public that it can deliver them. Ironically, one of the best hopes for peace may be the conviction among many Chinese leaders, prevalent since the 2008 economic crisis, that U.S. power will collapse as Soviet power did, depriving Taiwan of its patron and leaving it far more vulnerable to coercion. Holding on to that idea allows for the indefinite postponement of a risky and costly invasion.

James Palmer at Foreign Policy

I differ from Palmer for what I reported previously and for one, intelligence leaked out of China that indicated an August move on Taiwan by Xi Jinping. For another, further leaked intelligence out of China intensified the war rhetoric by citing no hesitancy in starting a war over Taiwan. For another, typhoon season becomes a very significant factor with each passing day and it impacts the timeline relative to operational windows.

Four things:

1. If there is going to be an imminent invasion of Taiwan by China, it must be sooner than later due to Typhoon season impacts.
2. If there is not going to be an imminent invasion of Taiwan in the near term, it stands to reason that it would come later than August and once Typhoon season has slowed or ceased. This requires us to re-calibrate our timeline which is often the case when making projections from the logical deduction of evidence.
3. If I were China and I were looking to capitalize on regaining what I rightfully viewed as mine – Taiwan – I would do it just as the White House stated for the first time ever that it does not stand with Taiwan independence; while it’s Commander-in-Chief is isolated due to a fraudulent pandemic of China’s biowarfare design; while the U.S. is preoccupied with a proxy-war against Russia in Ukraine; and while the U.S. is the weakest and most vulnerable it’s ever been. I would amass a huge amount of military hardware and assets for these ongoing drills encroaching on Taiwan. Once the supply levels were sufficient and with a groundswell of immediate mobilization building-up in the backdrop, I’d do what the U.S. government likes to do in false flag operations by simply taking the exercise live on the drop of a dime to begin the actual invasion of Taiwan. That is the most tactically effective way to make a surprise launch with the entire world watching. And it avoids Typhoon season.
4. I’ve already evidenced Biden’s previous commitment to defend Taiwan in the event of an invasion by China, which the White House had to walk back. I’ve already outlined the U.S.’s informal defense agreements with Taiwan in articles. With the White House now diverging from supporting Taiwan independence, for China, this factors-out as the official White House policy position creating a portal to invade Taiwan with an impartial U.S. but in an odd scenario where it knows the U.S. will be drawn-in to it. It’s as if China is picking a fight it knows it’s going to win and it’s engaging in front-end perception management to manipulate the narrative so it is justified in its actions. In short, it aligns precisely with the longstanding projection of the designed multiple-front war scenario that has the U.S. positioned to lose.

For my nickel, there are two problematic questions at the moment and for the near term:

1. How likely is it that China will capitalize on ongoing military drills to take drills live to an actual invasion of Taiwan?
2. Do you remember what happened the last time a U.S. president found himself isolated under questionable circumstances at such precarious times like Biden is right now?

Those are valid questions.

For now, we have breathing room and a respite from tensions but this is reasonably thought to be be short-lived. I would expect another round of ratcheting-up sooner than later and from there we can reassess and reformulate.

I’ll leave you with a related wry chuckle apologizing in advance for the profanity but damn it, sometimes you just have to say the words.

-End-

*This is the 65th article in this series.

All preceding articles in this series:

1. China, Russia and Ukraine – These People Play Inside of a Box
2. The Multiple Front War Scenario Predicted Months and Years Ago Is Coming to Fruition As Exactly and Precisely Predicted and Right Down to the Exact Timeline: Russia, Ukraine, China and Taiwan
3. The Power Vacuum, Russia, Ukraine, Timing and the Associated Scenarios
4. ALARMING: WHITE HOUSE’S ABRUPT REVERSAL OF POSITIONS – Every American Should Read and Come to Understand the White House’s Disingenuous and Newly Fabricated Position on the Multiple-Front War Precisely Predicted Long Ago
5. DECIPHERING PUTIN: Nothing Comports with Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Except the Long History of Engineered Regime Change Efforts by the West, U.S. and CIA
6. Timing Validates Established Interconnected Positions: CIA’s Engineered Russia/Ukraine War, COVID-19 Enterprise Fraud Construct, Our Federal Grand Jury Petition, Oregon Governor Kate Brown’s Criminality, and Gas Prices Serving Cloward-Piven
7. UNDERSTANDING THE STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE OF UKRAINE: Going Deep on Ukraine’s Strategic Importance Reveals That We’re Repeating the History Obama, the Clintons and the Bidens Engineered for Us
8. U.S. BIOLABS IN UKRAINE: Russian Government Produces Documents Validating Positions on the CIA’s Regime Change Efforts and Biowarfare in Ukraine
9. THE DEATH OF AMERICA: Understanding the Asymmetrical, Irregular and Undeclared War With China Relative to the Disaster That Is America Today, Every American Should Come to Understand This
10. PROJECTION, PANIC and PROOF – Positions On Ukraine and Russia Are Narrowly Focused, Precisely On Point and Entirely Antithetical to the Propagandized Western Narrative
11. UKRAINE and CHINA: Understanding the Two Epicenters of the Biden Crime Family’s Corruption and Treason, We’ve All Been Sold Out
12. The Unmitigated Truth About Ukraine, Russia and The Western Empire
13. RUSSIA, UKRAINE and CHINA: Unavoidable Evidence Emerges Forcing MSM to Diverge From the Western Empire and Begin Aligning With Our Positions, Explanations and Evidence
14. RUSSIA, UKRAINE and CHINA: After U.N. Security Council Western Empire Remains Committed to Fabricated Multiple-Front War Scenario, Continues Drive Relocating Global Leadership to China
15. RUSSIA, UKRAINE and CHINA: Recent Developments Further Evidence Precisely Predicted and Catastrophic Multiple-front War Trajectory
16. RUSSIA, UKRAINE and CHINA: Precisely Predicted Matters Continue Escalating By the Hour
17. RUSSIA, UKRAINE and CHINA: Incremental Escalation Continues, COVID-19 Is Never Going Away
18. RUSSIA, UKRAINE and CHINA: The End of America Begins on the Precipice of a Manufactured and Engineered Multiple-Front War Accurately Predicted Long Ago
19. RUSSIA and CHINA: Biden Regime Crawls Back to Obama’s JCPOA Repositioning Iran as a Rogue Nuclear Arsenal
20. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Direct Evidence of U.S. Being Advised of Department of Defense Dual-Use Pathogen Biolabs in Ukraine on 11 Jun 20
21. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: The U.S. Response to Direct Evidence of Being Advised of Department of Defense Dual-Use Pathogen Biolabs in Ukraine on 11 Jun 20 and the Critical History Underpinning It
22. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Metabiota Is Problematic For the Bidens and the Official Narratives for COVID-19 and Thermonuclear War With Russia Over Ukraine
23. IT’S ALL ENTERPRISE FRAUD, EVERY BIT OF IT: Trump, Clinton, COVID-19, BlackRock, Vanguard and All of the Pieces In Between
24. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Developments on Metabiota and the Accurately Predicted Multiple-Front War Scenario
25. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Accurate Analysis Prevails, Western Empire Drives Regime Change In Russia, Global Governance Via Biden’s Stated “New World Order”
26. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Evidence Further Positions Metabiota As Nexus Between Biden, Biowarfare and Treason
27. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Predicted New Variants Arrive Right On Time, Milley Warns of “Significant International Conflict Between Great Powers”
28. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: U.S. Biolab Timeline Released by Russian Foreign Ministry
29. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Biden Administration Admits to Using Propaganda Further Galvanizing Accurate Reporting On Predicted Multiple-Front War Scenario
30. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: NATO to Engage China in Asia-Pacific, Western Empire’s Russian Lies and Fauci’s Scheduled Plans
31. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Ominous New Developments Further Galvanize the Broader Scope of Existing and Evidenced Positions
32. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: A Picture Is Worth A Thousand Words – Unfettered Cloward-Piven and New Developments Have America Destined for Destruction in the Planned and Predicted Multiple-Front War
33. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Legendary Geopolitical Analyst Martin Armstrong In Exact Alignment With Our Positions, Predictions and Evidence, Says Western Empire “Needs WWIII”
34. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: U.S. Politiburo Beats War Drums, China Responds with Military Exercises Over Taiwan
35. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: U.S. Foreign Aid to Ukraine, Transparency, Exceptions and Redactions – Part I, Lessons from Walmart
36. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: U.S. Foreign Aid to Ukraine, Transparency, Exceptions and Redactions – Part II, Evidence and Questions
37. RUSSIA, UKRAINE and CHINA: Biden Is Doing Exactly What the Evidence Suggests He Is, Incrementally Moving Us Toward Thermonuclear War
38. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Cloward-Piven Extended To Injectable Bioweapons and the Food Crisis
39. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Food Supply Crisis and Economic Collapse Imminent as Beating War Drums Get Louder, See and Understand the Larger Picture
40. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Pelosi Marches U.S. Closer to Armageddon as COVID-19 Is Extended for the Foreseeable Future
41. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Hepatitis, HIV, COVID-19 and Cancer Weaponized to Target Our Most Vulnerable Population – Children
42. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Cerebus, Hell on Earth and The Designed Confluence of War, Famine and Disease
43. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: U.S. Proxy War with Russia Confirmed, DIA Assessment and Statement; Gates 2020 Investment In Biomilq
44. Predicated By Enterprise Fraud, The “New World Order” and Its Marxist Communist Brand of Global Governance Is Set To Arrive 22-28 May 2022
45. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and COVID-19: Tensions Tighten In the Predicted Multiple-Front War Scenario while “Monkeypox” Threat Is Sown Into the Narrative
46. RUSSIA, UKRAINE, CHINA and MEDICAL TYRANNY: War, Famine and Disease Are Right On Schedule as Evidenced by Monkeypox, the Food Crisis, Metabiota, Biden Laptop Emails and PDFs from Marco Polo, and Contemporary Headlines
47. MEDICAL TYRANNY and GLOBAL GOVERNANCE: War, Famine, Disease and the Fourth Reich
48. Medical Tyranny, Global Governance, World War III, Klaus Schwab and the Fourth Reich – The Story Few are Telling but All Are Living: War, Famine and Disease
49. VIDEO: Political Moonshine Interview on The Prather Point with Jeff Prather – Taiwan and the Multiple-front War Scenario
50. BIG PICTURE UNDERSTANDING: Dynastic Bush, Ukrainian Nazis, Chinese Hub of Global Operations and Global Governance
51. How China May Invade the U.S. Mainland and It’s Not What You Think
52. If It Isn’t the UN, It May Be NATO, Components of Our Own Military, Some of Them or All of Them
53. Further Evidence and Validation for Old Positions On Current Matters: Capitol “Insurrection,” Food Crisis, Psychological Warfare, COVID-19/Monkeypox, China/Taiwan and Russia/Ukraine, Coeur d’Alene
54. There’s A Tale Being Woven for Telling Once They’ve Rewritten History From the Ashes. Do You Know What It Is?
55. Noticed All the Recent Talk About the ‘Constitution’ and ‘Our Democracy’?
56. Viewing the Three-Headed Cerebus of War, Famine and Disease Through the Lens of Independence Day
57. “See You On the Other Side.” Entheos Returns As Cerebus Rages: War, Famine & Disease
58. What Are We Doing, America?
59. PATTERN RECOGNITION: Monkeypox, Midterms and More Enterprise Fraud, Tedros/WHO Declares Public Health Emergency of International Concern
60. These People Play Inside of a Box: Biden Administration Maneuvering to Declare Public Health Emergency Over Monkeypox With 2022 Midterms as Likely Target
61. Has Pelosi Unilaterally Expanded the House Speaker’s Authority and Is She Traveling to Taiwan as the Russia/China War Drums Intensify to Stamp Her Authority on It? Prewar Maneuvering for an August Flashpoint?
62. Pelosi Outbound for Taiwan, U.S. Moves Closer to Multi-front War Scenario on Exact Timeline Predicted Long Ago
63. Pelosi Trip Enrages Cerebus: War, Famine and Disease
64. TAIWAN: Pelosi “Definitely Coming”, War Drums Intensify, U.S. Moves Closer to Projected Flashpoint